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Risk factors and prognostic indicators for progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease: a deep learning-based CT quantification approach.

Lee K, Lee JH, Koh SY, Park H, Goo JM

pubmed logopapersJun 17 2025
To investigate the value of deep learning-based quantitative CT (QCT) in predicting progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease (PF-ILD) and assessing prognosis. This single-center retrospective study included ILD patients with CT examinations between January 2015 and June 2021. Each ILD finding (ground-glass opacity (GGO), reticular opacity (RO), honeycombing) and fibrosis (sum of RO and honeycombing) was quantified from baseline and follow-up CTs. Logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of PF-ILD, defined as radiologic progression along with forced vital capacity (FVC) decline ≥ 5% predicted. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to assess mortality. The added value of incorporating QCT into FVC was evaluated using C-index. Among 465 ILD patients (median age [IQR], 65 [58-71] years; 238 men), 148 had PF-ILD. After adjusting for clinico-radiological variables, baseline RO (OR: 1.096, 95% CI: 1.042, 1.152, p < 0.001) and fibrosis extent (OR: 1.035, 95% CI: 1.004, 1.067, p = 0.025) were PF-ILD predictors. Baseline RO (HR: 1.063, 95% CI: 1.013, 1.115, p = 0.013), honeycombing (HR: 1.074, 95% CI: 1.034, 1.116, p < 0.001), and fibrosis extent (HR: 1.067, 95% CI: 1.043, 1.093, p < 0.001) predicted poor prognosis. The Cox models combining baseline percent predicted FVC with QCT (each ILD finding, C-index: 0.714, 95% CI: 0.660, 0.764; fibrosis, C-index: 0.703, 95% CI: 0.649, 0.752; both p-values < 0.001) outperformed the model without QCT (C-index: 0.545, 95% CI: 0.500, 0.599). Deep learning-based QCT for ILD findings is useful for predicting PF-ILD and its prognosis. Question Does deep learning-based CT quantification of interstitial lung disease (ILD) findings have value in predicting progressive fibrosing ILD (PF-ILD) and improving prognostication? Findings Deep learning-based CT quantification of baseline reticular opacity and fibrosis predicted the development of PF-ILD. In addition, CT quantification demonstrated value in predicting all-cause mortality. Clinical relevance Deep learning-based CT quantification of ILD findings is useful for predicting PF-ILD and its prognosis. Identifying patients at high risk of PF-ILD through CT quantification enables closer monitoring and earlier treatment initiation, which may lead to improved clinical outcomes.

Development and interpretation of machine learning-based prognostic models for predicting high-risk prognostic pathological components in pulmonary nodules: integrating clinical features, serum tumor marker and imaging features.

Wang D, Qiu J, Li R, Tian H

pubmed logopapersJun 17 2025
With the improvement of imaging, the screening rate of Pulmonary nodules (PNs) has further increased, but their identification of High-Risk Prognostic Pathological Components (HRPPC) is still a major challenge. In this study, we aimed to build a multi-parameter machine learning predictive model to improve the discrimination accuracy of HRPPC. This study included 816 patients with ≤ 3 cm pulmonary nodules with clear pathology and underwent pulmonary resection. High-resolution chest CT images, clinicopathological characteristics were collected from patients. Lasso regression was utilized in order to identify key features, and a machine learning prediction model was constructed based on the screened key features. The recognition ability of the prediction model was evaluated using (ROC) curves and confusion matrices. Model calibration ability was evaluated using calibration curves. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the value of the model for clinical applications. Use SHAP values for interpreting predictive models. A total of 816 patients were included in this study, of which 112 (13.79%) had HRPPC of pulmonary nodules. By selecting key variables through Lasso recursive feature elimination, we finally identified 13 key relevant features. The XGB model performed the best, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.930 (95% CI: 0.906-0.954) in the training cohort and 0.835 (95% CI: 0.774-0.895) in the validation cohort, indicating that the XGB model had excellent predictive performance. In addition, the calibration curves of the XGB model showed good calibration in both cohorts. DCA demonstrated that the predictive model had a positive benefit in general clinical decision-making. The SHAP values identified the top 3 predictors affecting the HRPPC of PNs as CT Value, Nodule Long Diameter, and PRO-GRP. Our prediction model for identifying HRPPC in PNs has excellent discrimination, calibration and clinical utility. Thoracic surgeons could make relatively reliable predictions of HRPPC in PNs without the possibility of invasive testing.

Three-dimensional multimodal imaging for predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after surgical resection.

Peng J, Wang J, Zhu H, Jiang P, Xia J, Cui H, Hong C, Zeng L, Li R, Li Y, Liang S, Deng Q, Deng H, Xu H, Dong H, Xiao L, Liu L

pubmed logopapersJun 16 2025
High tumor recurrence after surgery remains a significant challenge in managing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to construct a multimodal model to forecast the early recurrence of HCC after surgical resection and explore the associated biological mechanisms. Overall, 519 patients with HCC were included from three medical centers. 433 patients from Nanfang Hospital were used as the training cohort, and 86 patients from the other two hospitals comprised validation cohort. Radiomics and deep learning (DL) models were developed using contrast-enhanced computed tomography images. Radiomics feature visualization and gradient-weighted class activation mapping were applied to improve interpretability. A multimodal model (MM-RDLM) was constructed by integrating radiomics and DL models. Associations between MM-RDLM and recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival were analyzed. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and multiplex immunohistochemistry (mIHC) were used to investigate the biological mechanisms. Models based on hepatic arterial phase images exhibited the best predictive performance, with radiomics and DL models achieving areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.770 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.725-0.815) and 0.846 (95 % CI: 0.807-0.886), respectively, in the training cohort. MM-RDLM achieved an AUC of 0.955 (95 % CI: 0.937-0.972) in the training cohort and 0.930 (95 % CI: 0.876-0.984) in the validation cohort. MM-RDLM (high vs. low) was notably linked to RFS in the training (hazard ratio [HR] = 7.80 [5.74 - 10.61], P < 0.001) and validation (HR = 10.46 [4.96 - 22.68], P < 0.001) cohorts. GSEA revealed enrichment of the natural killer cell-mediated cytotoxicity pathway in the MM-RDLM low cohort. mIHC showed significantly higher percentages of CD3-, CD56-, and CD8-positive cells in the MM-RDLM low group. The MM-RDLM model demonstrated strong predictive performance for early postoperative recurrence of HCC. These findings contribute to identifying patients at high risk for early recurrence and provide insights into the potential underlying biological mechanisms.

Predicting overall survival of NSCLC patients with clinical, radiomics and deep learning features

Kanakarajan, H., Zhou, J., Baene, W. D., Sitskoorn, M.

medrxiv logopreprintJun 16 2025
Background and purposeAccurate estimation of Overall Survival (OS) in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) patients provides critical insights for treatment planning. While previous studies showed that radiomics and Deep Learning (DL) features increased prediction accuracy, this study aimed to examine whether a model that combines the radiomics and DL features with the clinical and dosimetric features outperformed other models. Materials and methodsWe collected pre-treatment lung CT scans and clinical data for 225 NSCLC patients from the Maastro Clinic: 180 for training and 45 for testing. Radiomics features were extracted using the Python radiomics feature extractor, and DL features were obtained using a 3D ResNet model. An ensemble model comprising XGB and NN classifiers was developed using: (1) clinical features only; (2) clinical and radiomics features; (3) clinical and DL features; and (4) clinical, radiomics, and DL features. The performance metrics were evaluated for the test and K-fold cross-validation data sets. ResultsThe prediction model utilizing only clinical variables provided an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) of 0.64 and a test accuracy of 77.55%. The best performance came from combining clinical, radiomics, and DL features (AUC: 0.84, accuracy: 85.71%). The prediction improvement of this model was statistically significant compared to models trained with clinical features alone or with a combination of clinical and radiomics features. ConclusionIntegrating radiomics and DL features with clinical characteristics improved the prediction of OS after radiotherapy for NSCLC patients. The increased accuracy of our integrated model enables personalized, risk-based treatment planning, guiding clinicians toward more effective interventions, improved patient outcomes and enhanced quality of life.

PRO: Projection Domain Synthesis for CT Imaging

Kang Chen, Bin Huang, Xuebin Yang, Junyan Zhang, Qiegen Liu

arxiv logopreprintJun 16 2025
Synthesizing high quality CT projection data remains a significant challenge due to the limited availability of annotated data and the complex nature of CT imaging. In this work, we present PRO, a projection domain synthesis foundation model for CT imaging. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that performs CT synthesis in the projection domain. Unlike previous approaches that operate in the image domain, PRO learns rich structural representations from raw projection data and leverages anatomical text prompts for controllable synthesis. This projection domain strategy enables more faithful modeling of underlying imaging physics and anatomical structures. Moreover, PRO functions as a foundation model, capable of generalizing across diverse downstream tasks by adjusting its generative behavior via prompt inputs. Experimental results demonstrated that incorporating our synthesized data significantly improves performance across multiple downstream tasks, including low-dose and sparse-view reconstruction. These findings underscore the versatility and scalability of PRO in data generation for various CT applications. These results highlight the potential of projection domain synthesis as a powerful tool for data augmentation and robust CT imaging. Our source code is publicly available at: https://github.com/yqx7150/PRO.

Precision Medicine and Machine Learning to predict critical disease and death due to Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Júnior WLDT, Danelli T, Tano ZN, Cassela PLCS, Trigo GL, Cardoso KM, Loni LP, Ahrens TM, Espinosa BR, Fernandes AJ, Almeida ERD, Lozovoy MAB, Reiche EMV, Maes M, Simão ANC

pubmed logopapersJun 16 2025
The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) causes Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) and induces activation of inflammatory pathways, including the inflammasome. The aim was to construct Machine Learning (ML) models to predict critical disease and death in patients with COVID-19. A total of 528 individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection were included, comprising 308 with critical and 220 with non-critical COVID-19. The ML models included imaging, demographic, inflammatory biomarkers, NLRP3 (rs10754558 and rs10157379) and IL18 (rs360717 and rs187238) inflammasome variants. Individuals with critical COVID-19 were older, higher male/female ratio, body mass index (BMI), rate of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), hypertension, inflammatory biomarkers, need of orotracheal intubation, intensive care unit admission, incidence of death, and sickness symptom complex (SSC) scores and lower peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO<sub>2</sub>) compared to those with non-critical disease. We found that 49.5 % of the variance in the severity of critical COVID-19 was explained by SpO<sub>2</sub> and SSC (negatively associated), chest computed tomography alterations (CCTA), inflammatory biomarkers, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), BMI, T2DM, and age (positively associated). In this model, the NLRP3/IL18 variants showed indirect effects on critical COVID-19 that were mediated by inflammatory biomarkers, SARS, and SSC. Neural network models yielded a prediction of critical disease and death due to COVID-19 with an area under the receiving operating characteristic curve of 0.930 and 0.927, respectively. These ML methods increase the accuracy of predicting severity, critical illness, and mortality caused by COVID-19 and show that the genetic variants contribute to the predictive power of the ML models.

Roadmap analysis for coronary artery stenosis detection and percutaneous coronary intervention prediction in cardiac CT for transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

Fujito H, Jilaihawi H, Han D, Gransar H, Hashimoto H, Cho SW, Lee S, Gheyath B, Park RH, Patel D, Guo Y, Kwan AC, Hayes SW, Thomson LEJ, Slomka PJ, Dey D, Makkar R, Friedman JD, Berman DS

pubmed logopapersJun 16 2025
The new artificial intelligence-based software, Roadmap (HeartFlow), may assist in evaluating coronary artery stenosis during cardiac computed tomography (CT) for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Consecutive TAVR candidates who underwent both cardiac CT angiography (CTA) and invasive coronary angiography were enrolled. We evaluated the ability of three methods to predict obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), defined as ≥50 ​% stenosis on quantitative coronary angiography (QCA), and the need for percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) within one year: Roadmap, clinician CT specialists with Roadmap, and CT specialists alone. The area under the curve (AUC) for predicting QCA ≥50 ​% stenosis was similar for CT specialists with or without Roadmap (0.93 [0.85-0.97] vs. 0.94 [0.88-0.98], p ​= ​0.82), both significantly higher than Roadmap alone (all p ​< ​0.05). For PCI prediction, no significant differences were found between QCA and CT specialists, with or without Roadmap, while Roadmap's AUC was lower (all p ​< ​0.05). The negative predictive value (NPV) of CT specialists with Roadmap for ≥50 ​% stenosis was 97 ​%, and for PCI prediction, the NPV was comparable to QCA (p ​= ​1.00). In contrast, the positive predictive value (PPV) of Roadmap alone for ≥50 ​% stenosis was 49 ​%, the lowest among all approaches, with a similar trend observed for PCI prediction. While Roadmap alone is insufficient for clinical decision-making due to low PPV, Roadmap may serve as a "second observer", providing a supportive tool for CT specialists by flagging lesions for careful review, thereby enhancing workflow efficiency and maintaining high diagnostic accuracy with excellent NPV.

First experiences with an adaptive pelvic radiotherapy system: Analysis of treatment times and learning curve.

Benzaquen D, Taussky D, Fave V, Bouveret J, Lamine F, Letenneur G, Halley A, Solmaz Y, Champion A

pubmed logopapersJun 16 2025
The Varian Ethos system allows not only on-treatment-table plan adaptation but also automated contouring with the aid of artificial intelligence. This study evaluates the initial clinical implementation of an adaptive pelvic radiotherapy system, focusing on the treatment times and the associated learning curve. We analyzed the data from 903 consecutive treatments for most urogenital cancers at our center. The treatment time was calculated from the time of the first cone-beam computed tomography scan used for replanning until the end of treatment. To calculate whether treatments were generally shorter over time, we divided the date of the first treatment into 3-months quartiles. Differences between the groups were calculated using t-tests. The mean time from the first cone-beam computed tomography scan to the end of treatment was 25.9min (standard deviation: 6.9min). Treatment time depended on the number of planning target volumes and treatment of the pelvic lymph nodes. The mean time from cone-beam computed tomography to the end of treatment was 37 % longer if the pelvic lymph nodes were treated and 26 % longer if there were more than two planning target volumes. There was a learning curve: in linear regression analysis, both quartiles of months of treatment (odds ratio [OR]: 1.3, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.8-0.70, P<0.001) and the number of planning target volumes (OR: 3.0, 95 % CI: 2.6-3.4, P<0.001) were predictive of treatment time. Approximately two-thirds of the treatments were delivered within 33min. Treatment time was strongly dependent on the number of separate planning target volumes. There was a continuous learning curve.

PRO: Projection Domain Synthesis for CT Imaging

Kang Chen, Bin Huang, Xuebin Yang, Junyan Zhang, Qiegen Liu

arxiv logopreprintJun 16 2025
Synthesizing high quality CT images remains a signifi-cant challenge due to the limited availability of annotat-ed data and the complex nature of CT imaging. In this work, we present PRO, a novel framework that, to the best of our knowledge, is the first to perform CT image synthesis in the projection domain using latent diffusion models. Unlike previous approaches that operate in the image domain, PRO learns rich structural representa-tions from raw projection data and leverages anatomi-cal text prompts for controllable synthesis. This projec-tion domain strategy enables more faithful modeling of underlying imaging physics and anatomical structures. Moreover, PRO functions as a foundation model, capa-ble of generalizing across diverse downstream tasks by adjusting its generative behavior via prompt inputs. Experimental results demonstrated that incorporating our synthesized data significantly improves perfor-mance across multiple downstream tasks, including low-dose and sparse-view reconstruction, even with limited training data. These findings underscore the versatility and scalability of PRO in data generation for various CT applications. These results highlight the potential of projection domain synthesis as a powerful tool for data augmentation and robust CT imaging. Our source code is publicly available at: https://github.com/yqx7150/PRO.

Two-stage convolutional neural network for segmentation and detection of carotid web on CT angiography.

Kuang H, Tan X, Bala F, Huang J, Zhang J, Alhabli I, Benali F, Singh N, Ganesh A, Coutts SB, Almekhlafi MA, Goyal M, Hill MD, Qiu W, Menon BK

pubmed logopapersJun 16 2025
Carotid web (CaW) is a risk factor for ischemic stroke, mainly in young patients with stroke of undetermined etiology. Its detection is challenging, especially among non-experienced physicians. We included patients with CaW from six international trials and registries of patients with acute ischemic stroke. Identification and manual segmentations of CaW were performed by three trained radiologists. We designed a two-stage segmentation strategy based on a convolutional neural network (CNN). At the first stage, the two carotid arteries were segmented using a U-shaped CNN. At the second stage, the segmentation of the CaW was first confined to the vicinity of the carotid arteries. Then, the carotid bifurcation region was localized by the proposed carotid bifurcation localization algorithm followed by another U-shaped CNN. A volume threshold based on the derived CaW manual segmentation statistics was then used to determine whether or not CaW was present. We included 58 patients (median (IQR) age 59 (50-75) years, 60% women). The Dice similarity coefficient and 95th percentile Hausdorff distance between manually segmented CaW and the algorithm segmented CaW were 63.20±19.03% and 1.19±0.9 mm, respectively. Using a volume threshold of 5 mm<sup>3</sup>, binary classification detection metrics for CaW on a single artery were as follows: accuracy: 92.2% (95% CI 87.93% to 96.55%), precision: 94.83% (95% CI 88.68% to 100.00%), sensitivity: 90.16% (95% CI 82.16% to 96.97%), specificity: 94.55% (95% CI 88.0% to 100.0%), F1 measure: 0.9244 (95% CI 0.8679 to 0.9692), area under the curve: 0.9235 (95%CI 0.8726 to 0.9688). The proposed two-stage method enables reliable segmentation and detection of CaW from head and neck CT angiography.
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