Predicting overall survival of NSCLC patients with clinical, radiomics and deep learning features

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Abstract

Background and purposeAccurate estimation of Overall Survival (OS) in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) patients provides critical insights for treatment planning. While previous studies showed that radiomics and Deep Learning (DL) features increased prediction accuracy, this study aimed to examine whether a model that combines the radiomics and DL features with the clinical and dosimetric features outperformed other models. Materials and methodsWe collected pre-treatment lung CT scans and clinical data for 225 NSCLC patients from the Maastro Clinic: 180 for training and 45 for testing. Radiomics features were extracted using the Python radiomics feature extractor, and DL features were obtained using a 3D ResNet model. An ensemble model comprising XGB and NN classifiers was developed using: (1) clinical features only; (2) clinical and radiomics features; (3) clinical and DL features; and (4) clinical, radiomics, and DL features. The performance metrics were evaluated for the test and K-fold cross-validation data sets. ResultsThe prediction model utilizing only clinical variables provided an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) of 0.64 and a test accuracy of 77.55%. The best performance came from combining clinical, radiomics, and DL features (AUC: 0.84, accuracy: 85.71%). The prediction improvement of this model was statistically significant compared to models trained with clinical features alone or with a combination of clinical and radiomics features. ConclusionIntegrating radiomics and DL features with clinical characteristics improved the prediction of OS after radiotherapy for NSCLC patients. The increased accuracy of our integrated model enables personalized, risk-based treatment planning, guiding clinicians toward more effective interventions, improved patient outcomes and enhanced quality of life.

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