Longitudinal Validation of a Deep Learning Index for Aortic Stenosis Progression

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Abstract

AimsAortic stenosis (AS) is a progressive disease requiring timely monitoring and intervention. While transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) remains the diagnostic standard, deep learning (DL)-based approaches offer potential for improved disease tracking. This study examined the longitudinal changes in a previously developed DL-derived index for AS continuum (DLi-ASc) and assessed its value in predicting progression to severe AS. Methods and ResultsWe retrospectively analysed 2,373 patients a(7,371 TTEs) from two tertiary hospitals. DLi-ASc (scaled 0-100), derived from parasternal long- and/or short-axis views, was tracked longitudinally. DLi-ASc increased in parallel with worsening AS stages (p for trend <0.001) and showed strong correlations with AV maximal velocity (Vmax) (Pearson correlation coefficients [PCC] = 0.69, p<0.001) and mean pressure gradient (mPG) (PCC = 0.66, p<0.001). Higher baseline DLi-ASc was associated with a faster AS progression rate (p for trend <0.001). Additionally, the annualised change in DLi-ASc, estimated using linear mixed-effect models, correlated strongly with the annualised progression of AV Vmax (PCC = 0.71, p<0.001) and mPG (PCC = 0.68, p<0.001). In Fine-Gray competing risk models, baseline DLi-ASc independently predicted progression to severe AS, even after adjustment for AV Vmax or mPG (hazard ratio per 10-point increase = 2.38 and 2.80, respectively) ConclusionDLi-ASc increased in parallel with AS progression and independently predicted severe AS progression. These findings support its role as a non-invasive imaging-based digital marker for longitudinal AS monitoring and risk stratification.

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