Machine Learning Models for Predicting Mortality in Pneumonia Patients.
Authors
Affiliations (2)
Affiliations (2)
- Institute for Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine University of Belgrade.
- Department of Humanities, Faculty of Medicine University of Belgrade.
Abstract
Pneumonia remains a significant cause of hospital mortality, prompting the need for precise mortality prediction methods. This study conducted a systematic review identifying predictors of mortality using Machine Learning (ML) and applied these methods to hospitalized pneumonia patients at the University Clinical Centre Zvezdara. The systematic review identified 16 studies (313,572 patients), revealing common mortality predictors including age, oxygen levels, and albumin. A Random Forest (RF) model was developed using local data (n=343), achieving an accuracy of 99%, and AUC of 0.99. Key predictors identified were chest X-ray worsening, ventilator use, age, and oxygen support. ML demonstrated high potential for accurately predicting pneumonia mortality, surpassing traditional severity scores, and highlighting its practical clinical utility.