Prediction of bronchopulmonary dysplasia using machine learning from chest X-rays of premature infants in the neonatal intensive care unit.

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Abstract

Bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) is a significant morbidity in premature infants. This study aimed to assess the accuracy of the model's predictions in comparison to clinical outcomes. Medical records of premature infants born ≤ 28 weeks and < 1250 g between January 1, 2020, and December 31, 2021, in the neonatal intensive care unit were obtained. In this retrospective model development and validation study, an artificial intelligence model was developed using DenseNet121 deep learning architecture. The data set and test set consisted of chest radiographs obtained on postnatal day 1 as well as during the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th weeks. The model predicted the likelihood of developing no BPD, or mild, moderate, or severe BPD. The accuracy of the artificial intelligence model was tested based on the clinical outcomes of patients. This study included 122 premature infants with a birth weight of 990 g (range: 840-1120 g). Of these, 33 (27%) patients did not develop BPD, 24 (19.7%) had mild BPD, 28 (23%) had moderate BPD, and 37 (30%) had severe BPD. A total of 395 chest radiographs from these patients were used to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) model for predicting BPD. Area under the curve values, representing the accuracy of predicting severe, moderate, mild, and no BPD, were as follows: 0.79, 0.75, 0.82, and 0.82 for day 1 radiographs; 0.88, 0.82, 0.74, and 0.94 for week 2 radiographs; 0.87, 0.83, 0.88, and 0.96 for week 3 radiographs; and 0.90, 0.82, 0.86, and 0.97 for week 4 radiographs. The artificial intelligence model successfully identified BPD on chest radiographs and classified its severity. The accuracy of the model can be improved using larger control and external validation datasets.

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