Kissing Spine and Other Imaging Predictors of Postoperative Cement Displacement Following Percutaneous Kyphoplasty: A Machine Learning Approach.
Authors
Affiliations (2)
Affiliations (2)
- Department of Bone center, Beijing Luhe Hospital affiliated to Capital Medical University, Beijing, 101100, China.
- Department of Bone center, Beijing Luhe Hospital affiliated to Capital Medical University, Beijing, 101100, China. Electronic address: [email protected].
Abstract
To investigate the risk factors associated with postoperative cement displacement following percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) in patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCF) and to develop predictive models for clinical risk assessment. This retrospective study included 198 patients with OVCF who underwent PKP. Imaging and clinical variables were collected. Multiple machine learning models, including logistic regression, L1- and L2-regularized logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), decision tree, gradient boosting, and random forest, were developed to predict cement displacement. L1- and L2-regularized logistic regression models identified four key risk factors: kissing spine (L1: 1.11; L2: 0.91), incomplete anterior cortex (L1: -1.60; L2: -1.62), low vertebral body CT value (L1: -2.38; L2: -1.71), and large Cobb change (L1: 0.89; L2: 0.87). The support vector machine (SVM) model achieved the best performance (accuracy: 0.983, precision: 0.875, recall: 1.000, F1-score: 0.933, specificity: 0.981, AUC: 0.997). Other models, including logistic regression, decision tree, gradient boosting, and random forest, also showed high performance but were slightly inferior to SVM. Key predictors of cement displacement were identified, and machine learning models were developed for risk assessment. These findings can assist clinicians in identifying high-risk patients, optimizing treatment strategies, and improving patient outcomes.