Multi-modal machine learning classifier for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis predicts mortality in interstitial lung diseases.

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Abstract

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) prognostication incorporates clinical history, pulmonary function testing (PFTs), and chest CT pattern classifications. The machine learning classifier, Fibresolve, includes a model to help detect CT patterns associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We developed and tested new Fibresolve software to predict outcomes in patients with ILD. Fibresolve uses a transformer (ViT) algorithm to analyze CT imaging that additionally embeds PFTs, age, and sex to produce an overall risk score. The model was trained to optimize risk score in a dataset of 602 subjects designed to maximize predictive performance via Cox proportional hazards. Validation was completed with the first hazard ratio assessment dataset, then tested in a second datatest set. 61 % of 220 subjects died in the validation set's study period, whereas 40 % of the 407 subjects died in the second dataset's. The validation dataset's mortality hazard ratio (HR) was 3.66 (95 % CI: 2.09-6.42) and 4.66 (CI: 2.47-8.77) for the moderate and high-risk groups. In the second dataset, Fibresolve was a predictor of mortality at initial visit, with a HR of 2.79 (1.73-4.49) and 5.82 (3.53-9.60) in the moderate and high-risk groups. Similar predictive performance was seen at follow-up visits, as well as with changes in the Fibresolve scores over sequential visits. Fibresolve predicts mortality by automatically assessing combined CT, PFTs, age, and sex into a ViT model. The new software algorithm affords accurate prognostication and demonstrates the ability to detect clinical changes over time.

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